Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.284573 0.337334 0.400843 0.484066 0.591993 7.297500e-01 0.923146
2024-12-22 0.202737 0.263110 0.345656 0.471083 0.665254 9.706733e-01 1.526257
2024-12-29 0.164237 0.227680 0.323143 0.486463 0.781116 1.346217e+00 2.704996
2025-01-05 0.134291 0.194712 0.291902 0.473248 0.841806 1.677606e+00 4.303940
2025-01-12 0.116845 0.176059 0.277023 0.480851 0.945098 2.196813e+00 7.590588
2025-01-19 0.102121 0.158436 0.258876 0.474802 1.015775 2.720242e+00 12.927420
2025-01-26 0.092785 0.148066 0.251098 0.487075 1.140640 3.597408e+00 26.521758
2025-02-02 0.086008 0.140927 0.247655 0.507717 1.305854 4.956943e+00 68.552357
2025-02-09 0.079763 0.133663 0.242252 0.521746 1.464896 6.724636e+00 224.450241
2025-02-16 0.074725 0.127883 0.238692 0.539484 1.656941 9.424361e+00 1541.401647
2025-02-23 0.069886 0.121762 0.233119 0.549891 1.835199 1.299908e+01 167158.791010
2025-03-02 0.065493 0.115936 0.227096 0.557129 2.013172 1.799179e+01 NaN
2025-03-09 0.060988 0.109431 0.218615 0.555137 2.156758 2.438032e+01 NaN
2025-03-16 0.056437 0.102327 0.207582 0.541706 2.233046 3.118726e+01 NaN
2025-03-23 0.053904 0.099272 0.206117 0.560989 2.542399 5.207002e+01 NaN
2025-03-30 0.050169 0.093157 0.195825 0.545256 2.606005 6.814586e+01 NaN
2025-04-06 0.047807 0.089860 0.192408 0.554522 2.879768 1.165791e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.045076 0.085440 0.185310 0.547235 3.019879 1.778239e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.043349 0.083156 0.183706 0.562084 3.399313 3.993627e+02 NaN
2025-04-27 0.042057 0.081745 0.184325 0.587104 3.958093 1.461003e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 0.040611 0.079816 0.183151 0.604146 4.497661 9.377201e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 0.039373 0.078267 0.182860 0.625735 5.194504 7.149000e+06 NaN
2025-05-18 0.037996 0.076243 0.180836 0.638424 5.839338 NaN NaN